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Export Spells and Agri-food Exports, Evidence from Canada

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dc.contributor.advisor Kwaku Afesorgbor, Sylvanus Refaat, Kareem 2021-09-17T17:34:48Z 2021-09-17T17:34:48Z 2021-05 2021-09-07
dc.description.abstract This thesis continues the works related to the study of trade spell duration by looking at it from the perspective of Canadian agri-food exports, with an objective of estimating the variables that determine trade spell duration. I use the Canadian International Merchandise Trade Database for years 1988-2017 to estimate the Kaplan Meier Survival function and discrete time model. The thesis looks at variables that affect trade spell duration, with particular focus on Free Trade Agreements (FTA), non-tariff barriers (NTB), export value, processed foods, and tariffs. The results show that Canadian FTAs have little relation on agri-food export spell durations, but other variables such as NTB’s and processed nature of foods are significantly associated with trade spells. The theory of negative duration dependence is witnessed in the models, in that trade relationships that last passed the initial few years have lower likelihood of failure as time progresses. en_US
dc.language.iso en en_US
dc.publisher University of Guelph en_US
dc.subject spells en_US
dc.subject agri-food exports en_US
dc.subject trade spells en_US
dc.subject trade spell duration en_US
dc.subject export spells en_US
dc.subject Kareem en_US
dc.subject Refaat en_US
dc.subject FTA en_US
dc.subject Free trade agreements en_US
dc.title Export Spells and Agri-food Exports, Evidence from Canada en_US
dc.type Thesis en_US Food, Agriculture and Resource Economics en_US Master of Science en_US Department of Food, Agricultural and Resource Economics en_US
dc.rights.license All items in the Atrium are protected by copyright with all rights reserved unless otherwise indicated. University of Guelph en_US

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