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Time Series Analysis and Statistical Model Development for Food and Water Availability in the Grand River Watershed

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Title: Time Series Analysis and Statistical Model Development for Food and Water Availability in the Grand River Watershed
Author: McNeill, Kelsie
Department: School of Engineering
Program: Engineering
Advisor: Binns, AndrewSingh, Ashutosh
Abstract: Imminent threats of climate change, population growth and associated anthropogenic impacts can have severe implications for food and water resources around the globe. In order to properly manage these resources in the future, it is necessary to understand how they are influenced by stressors. This thesis characterizes recent, historical trends for food and water availability within the Southern Ontario Grand River Watershed (GRW). It then discusses the implications of trends for local food and water security and develops a statistical framework to model crop production in the GRW. The results of this thesis suggest that aspects of water security such as flood control, infrastructure protection and water quality may be threatened by future anthropogenic and environmental changes. Recent fluctuations in climatic patterns and a potential increase in frequency of extreme weather events could also cause periodic issues with crop production and affect the sustainability of current production growth trends.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10214/14145
Date: 2018-08
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