Vaccination and the theory of games

dc.contributor.authorBauch, Chris T.
dc.contributor.authorEarn, David J. D.
dc.date.accessioned2018-09-24T15:33:40Z
dc.date.available2018-09-24T15:33:40Z
dc.date.copyright2004
dc.date.issued2004-07-16
dc.degree.departmentDepartment of Mathematics and Statisticsen
dc.description.abstractVoluntary vaccination policies for childhood diseases present parents with a subtle challenge: if a sufficient proportion of the population is already immune, either naturally or by vaccination, then even the slightest risk associated with vaccination will outweigh the risk from infection. As a result, individual self-interest might preclude complete eradication of a vaccine-preventable disease. We show that a formal game theoretical analysis of this problem leads to new insights that help to explain human decision-making with respect to vaccination. Increases in perceived vaccine risk will tend to induce larger declines in vaccine uptake for pathogens that cause more secondary infections (such as measles and pertussis). Following a vaccine scare, even if perceived vaccine risk is greatly reduced, it will be relatively difficult to restore pre-scare vaccine coverage levels.en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10214/14336
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherNational Academy of Sciencesen_US
dc.rightsNonCommerical
dc.rights.holderCopyright 2004 The Authors
dc.rights.licenseAll items in the Atrium are protected by copyright with all rights reserved unless otherwise indicated.
dc.subjectgame theoryen_US
dc.subjectvaccinationen_US
dc.subjectpolicyen_US
dc.subjectdecision makingen_US
dc.subjectperceived risken_US
dc.titleVaccination and the theory of gamesen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
dcterms.relationBauch, C. T. and Earn, D. J. D. (2004). Vaccination and the theory of games. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 101(36): 13391-13394. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0403823101

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